Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026?
4
Ṁ572026
76%
Anthropic
64%
Google Deepmind
46%
Deepseek
40%
Open AI
34%
xAI
Will not bet on this market. Will resolve based on general sentiment, as reflected in highly upvoted LW posts, major articles, etc.
For calibration, my current read of the general sentiment of the AI safety community is that the median person currently trusts Anthropic (and maybe somewhat Deepmind).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
5.3
Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?
14% chance
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
87% chance
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
5% chance
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
88% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
18% chance
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
31% chance
The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026
Will Destiny discuss AI Safety before 2026?
71% chance