Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
Plus
11
Ṁ2932027
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
9% chance
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
8% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
41% chance
Will OpenAI be dissolved at any point by end of 2025
5% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will the for-profit arm of OpenAI be shut down or otherwise separated from the non-profit arm before 01/01/2026?
67% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
25% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
27% chance