Background
El Salvador's President Nayib Bukele has offered to accept deportees from the U.S. of any nationality, including American citizens and legal residents who have committed violent crimes. This unprecedented offer comes as the U.S. seeks solutions for immigration challenges and the handling of criminal deportees.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if the Trump administration formally accepts El Salvador's offer to house both:
Deportees of any nationality AND
U.S. citizens/legal residents
The market will resolve NO if:
The offer is rejected entirely
Only part of the offer is accepted (e.g., accepting to send non-U.S. citizen deportees but not U.S. citizens)
No formal decision is made by the end of 2025
Considerations
The U.S. Constitution and current laws prevent the government from deporting U.S. citizens
While agreements for deporting non-U.S. citizens to third countries (like El Salvador) are legally possible and have precedent, the deportation of U.S. citizens would require significant legal changes
El Salvador could potentially serve as a "safe third country" for non-U.S. citizen deportees, similar to existing agreements with other nations
The offer is being considered as part of broader immigration policy discussions between the U.S. and El Salvador
1,000
3.00