
Will stratospheric aerosol injection be deployed in order to combat climate change before 2040?
Plus
14
Ṁ5522039
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve to 'YES' if, before 2040, one or more nations or private institutions deploy stratospheric aerosol injection in an actual effort to address the problem (no matter the scale, but not only for testing purposes). Otherwise resolves to 'NO'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?
68% chance
Will we deploy large geoengineering efforts to thwart a runaway global warming before 2030?
20% chance
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
59% chance
Will the U.S. attempt a large scale Solar Radiation Modification geoengineering project before 2030?
23% chance
When will serious deployment of Solar Radiation Management (climate intervention) begin?
Will a large-scale solar geoengineering project be implemented by 2035?
35% chance
[Metaculus] Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?
7% chance
Will we be able to control the weather before 2040?
13% chance
Will an individual or governmental entity conduct a geoengineering project to lower global temperatures by 2030?
Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?
34% chance