Will Israel execute someone by 2030?
Plus
14
Ṁ15072030
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide. It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like that for genocide.
Resolves positive if there is an execution on or before 1 January 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any Israeli be charged with a war crime by the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will Israel free another living hostage by military means by 2025?
64% chance
Will Israel issue and carry out a death sentence by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Netanyahu's vision for Gaza be achieved by 2030?
30% chance
Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?
61% chance
Will Netanyahu be convicted of a crime by end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Israel create any new settlements by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Will a western country put sanctions on Israel by the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?
13% chance
Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?
88% chance