[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ248Jan 8
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://disclosure.spglobal.com/sri/, https://www.moodys.com/Pages/Sovereign-Default-Research.aspx, https://www.fitchratings.com/sovereigns
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will France have its credit rating downgraded in 2024?
73% chance
Will Moody’s Investors Service downgrade the US Credit Rating before 2025?
71% chance
Will US credit rating downgrade by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?
13% chance
Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?
21% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
5% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2024?
11% chance
[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
6% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
7% chance