If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will he die in office?
Plus
23
Ṁ1261Nov 6
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he is not elected, this market will resolve N/A.
Note: This market closes on Election Day.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
46% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
28% chance
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
53% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
20% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Conditional on Trump winning the presidency in 2024, will he be assassinated in office?
16% chance
Will Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
23% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029
25% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance