Will the US government ban Rednote / Xiaohongshu by 2026?
Basic
4
Ṁ3802026
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With a TikTok Ban Looming, Users Flee to Chinese App ‘Red Note’
Will resolve YES if the app is not available in United States app stores (Android and iOS) due to a government action. Will resolve NO if it is still accessible by Jan 1, 2026.
If the app becomes inaccessible for a non-government reason (like the devs removing it) this will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be the status of RedNote in the US on April 1st, 2025?
Will the Chinese version of XiaoHongShu (Red Note) still be accessible to US users in March 2025?
80% chance
Will TikTok be meaningfully banned in the US on March 1, 2025?
1% chance
Will China allow westerners to continue interacting with Chinese on Xiaohongshu/RedNote?
80% chance
Which applications will be banned by China
Will Twitter/X be unblocked in China before 2026?
15% chance
After Tiktok which other applications will be banned by the US
Will X (fka Twitter) be sued by the US government for refusing to remove content by the end of 2025?
8% chance
When will Xiaohongshu limit overseas users
Will over 1 million Chinese citizens be able to legally access twitter, youtube, and wikipedia at the end of 2025?
31% chance