How many people will be vaccinated with the R21 vaccine in 2024
Basic
3
Ṁ246Jan 22
4%
< 500K
17%
> 500K - 1M
37%
>1M - 10M
26%
> 10M - 40M
15%
> 40M
Context on the R21 vaccine here:
https://1dayafrica.org/r21-campaign
https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/unicef-signs-deal-deliver-new-malaria-vaccine-breakthrough-child-survival
https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/who-recommends-malaria-vaccine-roll-out-early-2024-some-african-countries-2023-10-02/
Note that this question is for number of vaccinations not doses. Three doses are needed for a vaccination.
I will extend the close date until reliable data is available for 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will it be confirmed that >2M doses of the R21 malaria vaccine are delivered in a single month before January 1st, 2025?
41% chance
Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
45% chance
What total number of R21 malaria vaccine doses will be distributed in 2024?
Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025?
48% chance
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months?
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?
What will be the lowest cost per dose observed for the R21 malaria vaccine before January 1st, 2026? (currently $3.90)
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
51% chance
Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
57% chance
By the start of 2026, will at least 10 people have been permanently cured of HIV?
76% chance