What will CDR (carbon capture) cost per ton at the start of 2030?
What will CDR (carbon capture) cost per ton at the start of 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ1202030
12%
< $10/ton
9%
$10–$100/ton
16%
$100–$400/ton
63%
> $400/ton
Current price is $600–$1000/ton according to the EIA. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/unlocking-the-potential-of-direct-air-capture-is-scaling-up-through-carbon-markets-possible#
Price will be evaluated according to the EIA, if available, and if not, any other trusted impartial entity. The price will be the midpoint of a provided range, so right now the “price” would be $800.
Prices will be at face value (2030 dollars) as of Jan 1, 2030, so inflation plays a role here.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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