How big will the largest individual bet on manifold be in 2024? (Ignoring exploits, bugs, and wash trades)
Basic
1
Ṁ30Jan 1
18%
< 100k mana
18%
100k <= n < 1M mana
18%
1M <= n < 10M mana
18%
10M <= n < 100M mana
10%
100M <= n < 1B mana
18%
Individual bets means individual bets - if you make two 50k trades one after another, that's 50k, not 100k. A limit order counts, but only the amount filled on that specific order before the end of the year. Wash trading does not count, filling your own order does not count. Betting 10M mana at 99% that joe biden wins the nomination would count. Market will resolve based on the spirit of these criteria, as opposed to legalistically.
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