Will Tim Farkas win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?
Will Tim Farkas win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?
Basic
0
2061
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Isaak Freeman win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY 2060?
50% chance
Will Gábor Fuisz win the Hungarian Order of Saint Stephen by EOY2070?
50% chance
Will Moritz Plieger win the Ehrenzeichen für Verdienste um die Republik Österreich by EOY2060
50% chance
Will Heye Groß win the Verdienstorden der Bundesrepublik Deutschland by EOY2060?
41% chance
Will Stephen Hsu win the Medal of the Republic by EOY2050?
50% chance
Will Tony Kulesa win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2069?
50% chance
Will Michael Trazzi win the Legion d'Honneur by EOY2050?
24% chance
Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?
50% chance
Will Stephen Wolfram win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?
37% chance
Will Ales Flidr win the Czech Order of the White Lion by EOY2060?
50% chance