Will a major rationalist/alignment grouphouse be formed in Ann Arbor, MI by EOY 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ24Jan 1
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Rationalussy Movie released in 2024?
77% chance
Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027?
50% chance
Will anyone show up to a rationalist-adjacent event in a quokka fursuit before 2026?
39% chance
Will there be a rationalussy SCP in 2024?
32% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will a major AI alignment office (eg Constellation/Lightcone/HAIST) give out free piksters to alignment ppl by EOY 2027?
43% chance
In 5 years will I think the org Conjecture was net good for alignment?
57% chance
Will I move into a sharehouse with 5 rationalists or more by the end of 2024?
3% chance
In April 2025 will my "Circle" think the School of Moral Ambition (started by R. Bregman) is a success?
55% chance
Will a book called "Alexey Guzey and The Methods of Rationality" (AGMOR) be written by EOY2045?
48% chance