Pierre Poilievre loses his own House seat in this election?
3
Ṁ315May 22
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if PP loses his seat in the April 28th election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Pierre Pollievre still be the leader of the CPC at the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre win the 2025 Canadian federal election?
15% chance
Who will succeed Pierre Poilievre as the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada?
Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos vote Conservative/Pierre Poilievre in the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
50% chance
If Pierre Poilievre wins a majority, what will he do in his first year?
Will Pierre Poilievre win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
84% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre become Canada’s prime minister before the conclusion of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final?
2% chance
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
11% chance
What will Pierre Poilievre's approval percentage be, one year after winning a majority?
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Prime Minister of Canada?
83% chance