This market resolves YES if Phish plays 40 or more shows during the calendar year 2026, NO otherwise.

Resolution Criteria: Count all official Phish performances in 2026 using phish.com (https://phish.com/). Include all official band performances but exclude solo projects or side projects by individual members.

Context: Phish has confirmed the Riviera Maya 2026 destination event (January 28-31, 2026) featuring 8 beachfront sets. Historically, the band played 45-49 shows in recent touring years (2003, 2009-2010). In their peak years (1988-1994), they averaged 80-145 shows annually, but have been more selective with touring in recent decades.