Will Hizbollah’s new leader Naim Qassem survive 2024?
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13
Ṁ300
Dec 31
71%
chance

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ25 YES

see also

https://manifold.markets/5bd4/will-naim-qassem-deputy-secretaryge

It's better to use search than starting a new market

@CarmelHadar That is a related, but different, market that is focussed on Israel killing Qassem. This market is focussed on whether Qassem will die in 2024 regardless of the circumstances.

@biased
ahh lol. well do you specifically interest in the case he will have a heart attack? or will kill by a mob?
anyway, he is in Teheran now, so assassination is less likely (but a helicopter accident... maybe)

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