Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2030 or earlier?
Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2030 or earlier?
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2
Ṁ1002031
46%
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1W
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For the resolution I will use the data from wikipedia page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fastest_production_cars_by_acceleration
I will resolve this market as YES if in the table ""By 0–60 mph (97 km/h) (less than 3.0 s)" there is a record that has Model Year <= 2030 and the Time < 1 second (exactly less, if it is 1.000 second this will not count)
I will resolve this market as YES shortly after the event occurs (but I will also check some other sources to be sure that the wikipedia page is correct)
I will resolve this market as NO in the middle of January of 2031 if there is no such record on wikipedia page.
I can bet on this market.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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