Will full communion be established between the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches by the the end of 2028?
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3%
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Background:
I'll be fairly lenient with what counts as full communion. If there's an agreement to establish something called "full communion," this will count, even if there are heavy caveats.
People who are more ecumenically and doctrinally knowledgeable than me feel free to suggest more rigorous criteria over the next few weeks (criteria may adjust slightly as a result).
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