Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
1
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52%
chance
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1W
1M
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if the Australian Labor Party wins an absolute majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia.
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Glossary
For the purpose of this market:
An absolute majority of seats means more than half of the seats in the House of Representatives.
A general election means simultaneous elections for every seat in the House of Representatives (as opposed to a by-election).
Resolution procedure
This market may resolve YES or NO after 6:00pm (Canberra time) on the day of the general election if the outcome can be projected with more than 99% confidence.
Further information
As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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