Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-2 this decade?

Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will any open-source model achieve GPT-4 level performance on MMLU through 2024?

Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?

Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will credible, corroborated GPT4o model details leak before 2025?

Will inflection AI have a model that is 10X the size of original GPT-4 at the end of Q1, 2025?