Will OpenAI shares pay a dividend before AGI or by 2031?
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This resolves YES if OpenAI shares pay out a combined $1 billion or more in distributions to all shareholders. This can be a dividend or profit distribution, or proceeds from a sale of the company. Share buybacks do not count.
This resolves NO if OpenAI declares that it has achieved AGI, the company goes bankrupt, or the deadline occurs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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