Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Plus
11
Ṁ6882029
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one of Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, or Ketanji Brown Jackson leaves the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term, and resolves NO otherwise.
"Trump's presidential term" means the current term, lasting until January 20, 2029, even if Trump leaves and Vance takes over.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
92% chance
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
79% chance
Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
34% chance
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
75% chance
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
43% chance
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
78% chance
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
45% chance