Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
Basic
7
Ṁ1002075
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a nuclear weapon is fired in anger before 23:59 GMT December 31 2074.
'Fired in anger' means intentionally fired on an enemy for the purpose of damaging them.
Does not include accidental firings.
Does include mutinous firings.
Does incude failed strikes (i.e. missile is intercepted/shot down/misses target or fails to detonate due to technical fault)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
36% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
11% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
11% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?
48% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
24% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
35% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
44% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
15% chance