WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
Basic
21
Ṁ12992031
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
98% chance
Which coalitions will be feasible after the 2025 German Bundestag election?
Will Germany need a three party coalition?
55% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
2% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
97% chance
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
1% chance
Will the AfD win a constituency seat in Western Germany?
45% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
23% chance