NFL Week 3 - Prop Bets
19
Ṁ3081
Sep 24
91%
35% or higher Kick Return rate
88%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
84%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
80%
Pick Six
78%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
73%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
72%
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
71%
Any team scores 40+ points
66%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
64%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
63%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
61%
Will a championship belt change teams?*
59%
A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts
59%
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
55%
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
55%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
55%
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
50%
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
50%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
50%
Team change in top 6 Super Bowl Favorites from 9/17 to 9/24

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Three

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Three (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Three finishes, but not later than that.

All Weeks:

Other Week 3 Markets:

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