Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ189Jan 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any NATO member state becomes directly involved (through troop deployment and resource engagement) in any war before midnight 12/31/2024. A war is defined as a military conflict in which there are over 1,000 total casualties within a year period. Resolves NO otherwise.
NATO membership status at time of first engagement is what is relevant. Resolves N/A if NATO ceases to exist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any NATO country engage in military conflict with Russia in 2024?
20% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
45% chance
Will any wars are going and end of 2025 are go ?
54% chance
NATO summit June 2025, what will happen ?
Any country invokes article 5 of NATO before 2025
7% chance
Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?
16% chance
Will India go to war by 2025?
8% chance
Will NATO deploy nuclear weapons to Poland before 2025?
11% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?