When will Apple replace Google as the default search engine on Safari? (iPhone or MacBook)
When will Apple replace Google as the default search engine on Safari? (iPhone or MacBook)
Plus
16
Ṁ801Dec 31
9%
before the end of 2025
24%
before the end of 2026
40%
before the end of 2027
42%
before the end of 2028
67%
later than 2028 / never
Resolved
NObefore the end of 2024
Google has been the default search engine on Safari for a while now. I read somewhere that Google pays Apple 18 Billion $$ per year to remain the default search engine. I wonder if/when this would change.
I will be resolving each option when the time comes, e.g., “before the end of 2024” resolves on 01.01.2025
If Google is replaced only on iPhones and not MacBooks, this would still resolve as Yes (and vice versa).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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