Will the CFTC investigate Manifold before the end of 2024?
Basic
9
Ṁ565Jan 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolutions redeemable for cash! Sounds like a potentially dicey area.
"Investigate" being defined loosely as coming under any regulatory scrutiny. Filing charges would definitely count. So would publishing a statement on Prize Points and cash payouts.
Resolves NO if this hasn't happened by the end of the year, including if Manifold abandons the pivot around prize point payout.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Manifold user attempt to Whistleblow on Manifold to CFTC before the end of 2025?
49% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2025?
18% chance
Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will someone sue Manifold Markets before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2030?
33% chance
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
56% chance
Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal on Manifold before the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will a market on Manifold be used as evidence in any legal proceeding by the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
13% chance
Will legal action be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity in 2024?
12% chance