Will Cat Ferguson win a UCI Women's WorldTour race in 2025?
Will Cat Ferguson win a UCI Women's WorldTour race in 2025?
1
Ṁ10Dec 31
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Cat Ferguson, the 18-year old multi-discipline talent, is in her first year in the elite peloton with the Movistar team, and has already impressed with a 3rd place result in the Trofeo Binda. This market resolves YES if she wins a 1.WWT race, or a stage or the GC of a 2.WWT race, during the 2025 season.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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