
Will a transformer based model be SOTA for video generation by the end of 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ310Jan 1
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes or no if there's a widely agreed on benchmark or it's obvious in popularity.
Resolves N/A if there's no clear consensus or benchmark.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?
81% chance
Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?
61% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using a voice chat to control the generation.
49% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using mind reading to control the generation.
15% chance
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026?
53% chance
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026? (harder question version)
43% chance
Will someone make a video generator < 3B parameters as good as Sora by EOY 2025?
35% chance
At the end of 2025 will a DINO-based algorithm still be SOTA for self-supervised learning in vision?
43% chance
Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?
8% chance
Will video generation AI make more product revenue than text models in 2025?
20% chance