Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
Plus
11
Ṁ4112029
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Trump signs any federal legislation related to cannabis during his second term. Resolves No if he does not sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term.
Legislation must mention cannabis directly, including but not limited to hemp, medical cannabis, extracts, edibles, decriminalization, rescheduling, or cannabis banking reform.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Trump finish his second term?
75% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
56% chance
Will the US pass or change a constitutional amendment in Trump's second term?
10% chance
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
14% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
20% chance
If Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1 during Biden's presidency, and Trump wins, will he revert this within 1 year?
13% chance
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
15% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
43% chance