Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
Basic
9
Ṁ494Dec 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only counts the regularly scheduled races in November. Last year, there were only three that were decided by this margin.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
33% chance
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
96% chance
Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
5% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.1%?
17% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?
95% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
99% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.5%?
97% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
2% chance
Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election?
98% chance
How many of the seven swing states will be decided by 2.5% or less?