After Tiktok which other applications will be banned by the US
After Tiktok which other applications will be banned by the US
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The Tiktok "ban" was signed into law in April 2024.
One year later, will more apps be banned under the same act or with similar reasoning ?
This is somewhat a subjective market since the word "ban" in this case is shorthand for "must not be controlled by a foreign adversary".
Additionally the ban, while signed into law has not yet taken effect.
Feel free to add more candidates.
I will resolve answers to my own judgment. And I might NA ones I think are spam or not useful. (If I can't NA them post pivot, I'll resolve them to an arbitrary value instead)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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