If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start? | Manifold

If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start?

Basic

8

Ṁ289

2035

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if more than 50 nuclear weapons are used in attacks within 3 years after China invades Taiwan. The nuclear weapons must be used in relation to the China-Taiwan war. The question will resolve N/A if China does not invade Taiwan by 2035.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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