Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Plus
15
Ṁ18712026
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
16% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
80% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
7% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
87% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
53% chance
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
27% chance
Will SpaceX conduct >100 Starship launches in 2025?
2% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the second quarter of 2025?
95% chance