Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
Basic
6
Ṁ6012025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
31% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
76% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing)
7% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
50% chance
By end of 2024, what will be the legal status regarding the use of copyrighted works for training AI models in the US?
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
75% chance
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
24% chance