For how long Kursk region will be at least partly under control of Ukraine?
Plus
53
Ṁ64122030
93%
At least until 1st Jan 2025
58%
At least until 1st May 2025
27%
At least until 1st Sept 2025
16%
At least until 1st Jan 2026
29%
At least until 1st July 2026
25%
At least until 1st Jan 2027
16%
At least until 1st July 2027
12%
At least until 2028
12%
At least until 2029
4%
At least until 2030
Zelenskyy says Ukraine plans to indefinitely hold Russian territory it has seized
For how long will Ukraine manage to do that?
Resolves Yes once a respective date is reached and some part (at least 100 km^2) of Kursk region is still under Ukrainian control. In case of Russia fully taking the region back (i.e. Ukraine controls less than 100 km^2), all dates that haven’t been achieved yet will immediately be resolved No.
100 square kilometres roughly equals to 40 square miles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia successfully remove Ukrainian troops from Kursk region by end of year?
9% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?
65% chance
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
84% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?
1% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
Will Ukraine liberate 85% of its 3 regions out of 5 currently controlled by Russia by the 31th of August?
21% chance
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?