Which of these swing states will have a split ticket? (Voting for different parties for President and Senator/Governor)
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Ṁ13kresolved Nov 14
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NOMaryland (Presidency and Senate)
Resolved
YESNew Hampshire (Presidency and Governorship)
Resolved
YESNorth Carolina (Presidency and Governorship)
Resolved
YESWisconsin (Presidency and Senate)
Resolved
YESNevada (Presidency and Senate)
Resolved
YESArizona (Presidency and Senate)
Resolved
YESMichigan (Presidency and Senate)
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NOPennsylvania (Presidency and Senate)
In the 2024 election, the states listed in this market are generally considered competitive in both the presidential race and the Governor/US Senate races.
For this market, a split ticket is defined as when a presidential candidate from one party wins a state while a candidate from another party wins the race for Governor or US Senate.
All states that have a split ticket outcome resolve Yes, all others resolve No.
Check out the Swing States Dashboard for current market odds on each of these races.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@FoxKHTML All the polls are currently good for Trump, which probably says more about how people feel towards Biden (they still don't like Trump). So it's not too surprising that Lake is behind while Trump is ahead.
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