Will the S&P 500 outperform EURO STOXX 50 this March?
Will the S&P 500 outperform EURO STOXX 50 this March?
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This market resolves to YES if the S&P 500 index has a higher percentage return than the EURO STOXX 50 index for the month of March 2025, measured from market close on February 28, 2025, to market close on March 31, 2025.
The market resolves to NO if:
The EURO STOXX 50 outperforms the S&P 500 during this period
Both indices have identical percentage returns
Both indices decline, but the S&P 500 declines more than the EURO STOXX 50
Performance will be measured in their native currencies (USD for S&P 500 and EUR for EURO STOXX 50) without currency conversion.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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