Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, what crime is he convicted of first?
Basic
8
Ṁ8222031
1%
0.6%
Maralago documents
0.5%
Georgia phone call
0%
Crimes referred by the January 6th Committee
98%
Stormy Daniels payments
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, in what year is the first such instance?
2024
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
14% chance
How many felonies will Trump be convicted of by 2027?
If Donald Trump is impeached in his second term, what will he be charged with?
On which charges will Donald Trump be convicted in the January 6th Federal Case?
Will Trump get sentenced for any of the 34 felonies he was found guilty of before January 20, 2025?
32% chance
Will Donald Trump be found guilty on one or more of the 2020 Election Result federal charges?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump be convicted on one or more counts in the classified documents case?
4% chance