Will "What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by ea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ3002027
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by early 2027? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
88% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "My AGI safety research—2024 review, ’25 plans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
49% chance
Will "Anthropic, and taking "technical philosophy" ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance