
Will "Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ1002026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are Not Robust is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Transformers Represent Belief State Geometry ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
87% chance
Will "Circuits in Superposition: Compressing many s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Modern Transformers are AGI, and Human-Level" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Why Would Belief-States Have A Fractal Struct..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "What TMS is like" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Believing In" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
87% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance