
Will "Every "Every Bay Area House Party" Bay Area H..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
4
Ṁ1402026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Every "Every Bay Area House Party" Bay Area House Party is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Contra Ngo et al. “Every ‘Every Bay Area Hous..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "LessOnline (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Why I’m not a Bayesian" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "My takes on SB-1047" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "2024 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4% chance