Will "Clarifying METR's Auditing Role" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ3192026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Clarifying METR's Auditing Role is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "My model of what is going on with LLMs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The Median Researcher Problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Information vs Assurance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "My Interview With Cade Metz on His Reporting ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
3% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Recommendation: reports on the search for mis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Investigating the Chart of the Century: Why i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Sycophancy to subterfuge: Investigating rewar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance