Will Microsoft AI launch its first model by September 2025?
6
Ṁ102Oct 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Microsoft AI, the division headed by Mustafa Suleyman, launch its first model by the end of September 2025? An official announcement, including at least a model name and planned approximate release date, will count as a launch for the purposes of this market. According to reports, they are aiming to be competitive with leading models from OpenAI, which Microsoft intends to reduce its dependence on.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will OpenAI consume more than $250M of Microsoft compute in 2025?
75% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
26% chance
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
94% chance