
If Artificial General Intelligence has a poor outcome, what will be the reason?
Basic
6
Ṁ2992030
78%
Something from Eliezer's list of lethalities occurs.
62%
Someone successfully aligns AI to cause a poor outcome
60%
Someone finds a solution to alignment, but fails to communicate it before dangerous AI gains control.
47%
Alignment is impossible.
Inverse of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence-539844cd3ba1?r=S3JhbnR6.
Will not resolve.
Primarily for users to explore particular lethalities.
Please add responses.
"poor" = human extinction or mass human suffering
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
If the progress of AI experiences a slowdown before 2030, what might be the cause?
Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?
Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?
29% chance
If we survive general artificial intelligence before 2100, what will be the reason?
Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) lead directly to the development of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)?
76% chance