Will Hamas control >50% of Gaza at the end of 2024?
Plus
14
Ṁ395Dec 31
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on the most reputable maps of territorial control if the conflict is ongoing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
81% chance
Will Hamas control more than one square kilometer of contiguous territory in Gaza at the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will Hamas hold territory in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024?
65% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will Hamas still be in power in Gaza on Cinco de Mayo 2025?
54% chance
Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?
15% chance
Will Hamas control more than one square kilometer of contiguous territory in Gaza at the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Israel politically control Gaza after the 2023 Israel-Hamas war ends?
65% chance
Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
33% chance
Will Hamas be eradicated by 2025?
13% chance