Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?
Plus
51
Ṁ4892Dec 31
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be serving in a NATO military at time of death, which must be while on duty. Pre-2014 borders. Includes airstrikes. Must be reported in 3 out of following: BBC, NYT, CNN, Reuters, AP.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Here's a question: Russell Bentley, an American soldier was killed in Donetsk this year, he was fighting for Russia.. but he still died in Ukraine. Sources:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-national-dies-russian-controlled-donetsk-russian-journalist-2024-04-19/
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-drones-energy-68f8e26eaff94e440f71578c43334332
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/19/us-citizen-dead-russia-separatists-ukraine
Does that count?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly in 2024?
35% chance
Will the first confirmed capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces occur before the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will a French soldier in Ukraine be killed by Russia before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will another serviceman (US Active military) be killed in 2024
54% chance
Will any NATO nation (including France) send troops to Ukraine in 2024?
15% chance
Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?
81% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
29% chance
Will regular NATO member-state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
11% chance
Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?
72% chance