Will there be a U.S. air base on Diego Garcia in 2040?
Basic
0
2031
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The physical presence of US military is what counts here, not the technical or legal sovereignty of Diego Garcia
ie if Mauritius tells the US it needs to leave but it doesn't, this would resolve YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Moon base by 2040?
69% chance
Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
40% chance
Will China announce a second military base in Africa by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
20% chance
Will there be a moon base by 2030?
23% chance
Will the US keep a base in Qatar until 2030?
68% chance
Will there be a profitable moon base by 2050?
29% chance
Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
62% chance
Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?
20% chance
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
34% chance