Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate at the start of the 119th U.S. Congress?
Plus
25
Ṁ8575Jan 5
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve after the 119th Congress is seated. The market will resolve to YES if Democrats + Vice President (president of the Senate) + Independents who caucus with Democrats have 50 or more votes in the Senate. This market will resolve to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@MattLashofSullivan 50+ seats with VP. I edited the description to make this clarification. Thanks!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
15% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
68% chance
Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
64% chance
Is 2022-2024 The Last Time This Decade Democrats Will Control The Senate?
33% chance
Will "Democrats have full control over the House and Senate" at any point in 2024?
5% chance
Will the Democrats control the Minnesota House of Representatives after the 2024 election?
55% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
93% chance
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
27% chance